A song of Ice and fire discussion (spoilers incl A Dance with Dragons)

[redchild]

Spoiler

I think Connington's attempt is going to fail because he really does not have the support of the entire kingdom. Even if he does have Dorne on his side, he will still have to reckon with the Lannisters, Tyrells, Stannis, Bolton, the Brotherhood Without Banners, and the Iron Born. And none of them want to share. He's attempting to take over a kingdom that's already rotten, drowning in debt, and falling apart at the seams. Brienne's POVs in AFFC gave us a look at the ordinary citizens of Westeros who are struggling to survive day to day with Winter arriving. I've yet to hear any citizen of Westeros wax nostalgic for the return of the Targaryens.

What Dany has that Aegon doesn't is her abilities as a leader to bring disparate people under her banner, but she's still pretty green when it comes to political intrigues. Robert Baratheon had the same charisma to unite and to take down a common threat, but even he was an inept ruler. Aegon and Connington so far are acting upon the suggestion of a Lannister, which shows some pretty bad decision making, as the Lannisters helped bring down the Targaryens, and are trying to take over a kingdom already filled to the brim with prospective kings, under the premise that Aegon has the right to rule through disinherited inheritance. Or I could be wrong and Aegon does become king and Dany didn't really matter. I'm still kind of wary over the sudden appearance of yet another Targaryen that somehow escaped death at infancy.